PAPER / MATCH · DRAW · PredictWon ✓
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Viking FK vs FC Bayern München
Backed the draw7.00¢ · 12 Oct, 03:00 UTC
SETTLED18 Oct 2026, 13:48 UTC
Staked $0.95→Returned $13.35
Won; this ticket netted $12.39.
Wed 28 Octnext buy Tue 27 Oct 12:00 JST (in any moment)data updated 1d 14h ago
STRATEGY OBSERVATION / INDEPENDENT PAPER EXPERIMENT
Strategy observation
The system follows a fixed rule to simulate longshot purchases and publishes the trades, settlements and long-term results. This is the system strategy, separate from your trading account.
Amounts are recorded in paper dollars ($), separate from your xUSD balance, personal positions and SLIP rewards. This page cannot place orders or change your account.
The observation book · separate from your positions
PAPER ACCOUNT · NO REAL MONEYPAPER ACCOUNT$167.77
Started at $200.00 · $138.65 cash · $29.11 in open tickets
SETTLED P&L−$32.2353 booked · 1 more decided by the venue; −$33.14 once booked
HITS33 of 53 resolved · best 14.0×
TICKETS BOUGHT88 tickets$111.69 spent · 35 open · 53 settledSee them ↓
IF EVERY OPEN TICKET HITS$1,56235 open tickets, $29.11 staked
Hourly snapshot · a paper account, no real money
Sources & definitions
Tickets and P&L come from the paper ledger (26 Oct, 22:30 UTC), refreshed hourly. Each ticket is booked at the asking price on Predict's public order book at the time, less the 2% fee; results follow Predict's settlement. Paper fills never reach the market.
Lately
LAST 7 DAYS · JSTCooling: Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2026 NFC West? · 0.80% → 0.25% (held)
Heating up: Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026? · 0.70% → 1.4% (held)
Bought 9 tickets, $8.19 in all, up to 38×
Heating up: Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? · 1.9% → 5.1% (held)
Cooling: Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026? · 1.8% → 0.85% (held)
Missed: Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 1 - 0 RB Leipzig? · −$0.95
Heating up: Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · 1.3% → 2.9% (held)
Cooling: Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · 0.75% → 0.15% (held)
The same, as it happens, on Telegram @longshotslip
The tickets bought
PAPER FILLS · PREDICT BOOKS88 paper tickets · 34 awaiting results · 3 won · 51 lost (1 decided by the venue, booked at the next settlement)
✓ HITViking FK vs FC Bayern München · Backed the draw — $0.95 in, $13.35 back (14.0×) · 18 Oct, 13:48 UTC settled
✓ HITOperário Ferroviário EC leading at halftime? · Bought — — $3.95 in, $20.00 back (5.1×) · 23 Sept, 03:25 UTC settled
✓ HITWill Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-22? · Bought — — $3.89 in, $17.00 back (4.4×) · 22 Sept, 23:25 UTC settled
PAPER / MATCH · PredictWon ✓
Operário Ferroviário EC leading at halftime?
Bought —19.00¢ · 21 Sept, 17:08 UTC
SETTLED23 Sept 2026, 03:25 UTC
Staked $3.95→Returned $20.00
Won; this ticket netted $16.05.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictWon ✓
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-22?
Bought —22.00¢ · 21 Sept, 17:08 UTC
SETTLED22 Sept 2026, 23:25 UTC
Staked $3.89→Returned $17.00
Won; this ticket netted $13.11.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictAwaiting result
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-10-27?
Bought Yes10.00¢ · 26 Oct, 03:00 UTC
EXPECTED MATCH RESULT27 Oct 2026, 21:45 UTCExpected time passed · awaiting venue
NOW 8.5% ▼ 24h ago 9.5%bought 10%
Staked $0.91→If correct · includes stake $8.929.8×
Unsettled; returns $0 if this ticket loses.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictAwaiting result
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-10-27?
Bought Yes4.00¢ · 26 Oct, 03:00 UTC
EXPECTED MATCH RESULT27 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTCExpected time passed · awaiting venue
NOW 3.5% ＝ 24h ago 3.5%bought 4.0%
Staked $0.91→If correct · includes stake $22.3024.5×
Unsettled; returns $0 if this ticket loses.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictAwaiting result
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Troy vs. James Madison
Bought TROY10.00¢ · 26 Oct, 03:00 UTC
EXPECTED MATCH RESULT30 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTCabout 1d 13h
NOW 8.5% ▼ 24h ago 9.5%bought 10%
Staked $0.91→If correct · includes stake $8.929.8×
Unsettled; returns $0 if this ticket loses.
Show 82 more tickets
PAPER / MATCH · PredictAwaiting result
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-10-30?
Bought Yes9.00¢ · 26 Oct, 03:00 UTC
EXPECTED MATCH RESULT30 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTCabout 2d 6h
NOW 8.0% ＝ 24h ago 8.0%bought 9.0%
Staked $0.91→If correct · includes stake $9.9110.9×
Unsettled; returns $0 if this ticket loses.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictAwaiting result
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-10-31?
Bought Yes4.00¢ · 26 Oct, 03:00 UTC
EXPECTED MATCH RESULT31 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTCabout 3d 8h
NOW 3.5% ＝ 24h ago 3.5%bought 4.0%
Staked $0.91→If correct · includes stake $22.3024.5×
Unsettled; returns $0 if this ticket loses.
PAPER / SEASON · PredictAwaiting result
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Will New York Jets win the 2026 AFC East?
Bought Yes2.05¢ · 15 Oct, 03:00 UTC
EXPECTED TITLE RESULT4 Jan 2027, 00:00 UTCabout 67d 10h
NOW 1.2% ▼ 24h ago 1.3%bought 2.0%
Staked $0.91→If correct · includes stake $43.5447.9×
Unsettled; returns $0 if this ticket loses.
PAPER / SEASON · PredictAwaiting result
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2026 NFC West?
Bought Yes2.60¢ · 28 Sept, 03:00 UTC
EXPECTED TITLE RESULT4 Jan 2027, 00:00 UTCabout 67d 10h
NOW 0.15% ▼ 24h ago 0.85%bought 2.6%
Staked $0.91→If correct · includes stake $34.3037.7×
Unsettled; returns $0 if this ticket loses.
PAPER / SEASON · PredictAwaiting result
Will Marseille win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?
Bought Yes3.10¢ · 28 Sept, 03:00 UTC
EXPECTED TITLE RESULT30 May 2027, 23:59 UTCabout 214d 10h
NOW 3.6% ▼ 24h ago 3.8%bought 3.1%
Staked $0.91→If correct · includes stake $28.7631.6×
Unsettled; returns $0 if this ticket loses.
PAPER / NON-SPORTS · PredictAwaiting result
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Bought Yes2.80¢ · 26 Oct, 03:00 UTC
RESULT DATE UNKNOWNAwaiting the triggering eventRule deadline: 3 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC
NOW 2.9% ▲ 24h ago 2.8%bought 2.8%
Staked $0.91→If correct · includes stake $31.8535.0×
Unsettled; returns $0 if this ticket loses.
PAPER / NON-SPORTS · PredictAwaiting result
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
Bought Yes2.95¢ · 26 Oct, 03:00 UTC
RESULT DATE UNKNOWNAwaiting the triggering eventRule deadline: 1 Dec 2026, 04:59 UTC
NOW 2.9% ＝ 24h ago 2.9%bought 3.0%
Staked $0.91→If correct · includes stake $30.2133.2×
Unsettled; returns $0 if this ticket loses.
PAPER / NON-SPORTS · PredictAwaiting result
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Bought Yes3.00¢ · 26 Oct, 03:00 UTC
RESULT DATE UNKNOWNAwaiting the triggering eventRule deadline: 1 Jan 2027, 05:00 UTC
NOW 2.9% ＝ 24h ago 2.9%bought 3.0%
Staked $0.91→If correct · includes stake $29.7232.7×
Unsettled; returns $0 if this ticket loses.
PAPER / NON-SPORTS · PredictAwaiting result
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Bought Yes2.00¢ · 19 Oct, 03:00 UTC
RESULT DATE UNKNOWNAwaiting the triggering eventRule deadline: 1 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC
NOW 1.1% ▼ 24h ago 1.3%bought 2.0%
Staked $0.91→If correct · includes stake $44.5949.0×
Unsettled; returns $0 if this ticket loses.
PAPER / NON-SPORTS · PredictAwaiting result
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
Bought Yes2.40¢ · 19 Oct, 03:00 UTC
RESULT DATE UNKNOWNAwaiting the triggering eventRule deadline: 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC
NOW 2.4% ＝ 24h ago 2.4%bought 2.4%
Staked $0.91→If correct · includes stake $37.1540.8×
Unsettled; returns $0 if this ticket loses.
PAPER / NON-SPORTS · PredictAwaiting result
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Trump out as President before 2027?
Bought Yes2.70¢ · 19 Oct, 03:00 UTC
RESULT DATE UNKNOWNAwaiting the triggering eventRule deadline: 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC
NOW 4.0% ▲ 24h ago 3.1%bought 2.7%
Staked $0.91→If correct · includes stake $33.0336.3×
Unsettled; returns $0 if this ticket loses.
PAPER / NON-SPORTS · PredictAwaiting result
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
Bought Yes2.23¢ · 12 Oct, 03:00 UTC
RESULT DATE UNKNOWNAwaiting the triggering eventRule deadline: 1 Jan 2027, 00:00 UTC
NOW 4.2% ＝ 24h ago 4.2%bought 2.2%
Staked $0.91→If correct · includes stake $39.9543.9×
Unsettled; returns $0 if this ticket loses.
PAPER / NON-SPORTS · PredictAwaiting result
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?
Bought Yes2.30¢ · 12 Oct, 03:00 UTC
RESULT DATE UNKNOWNAwaiting the triggering eventRule deadline: 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC
NOW 2.3% ＝ 24h ago 2.3%bought 2.3%
Staked $0.91→If correct · includes stake $38.7742.6×
Unsettled; returns $0 if this ticket loses.
PAPER / NON-SPORTS · PredictAwaiting result
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?
Bought Yes2.40¢ · 12 Oct, 03:00 UTC
RESULT TIME UNVERIFIEDAwait Predict settlement
NOW 3.7% ▼ 24h ago 3.9%bought 2.4%
Staked $0.91→If correct · includes stake $37.1540.8×
Unsettled; returns $0 if this ticket loses.
PAPER / NON-SPORTS · PredictAwaiting result
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Bought Yes0.50¢ · 5 Oct, 03:00 UTC
RESULT DATE UNKNOWNAwaiting the triggering eventRule deadline: 3 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC
NOW 0.95% ＝ 24h ago 0.95%bought 0.50%
Staked $0.91→If correct · includes stake $178.36196.0×
Unsettled; returns $0 if this ticket loses.
PAPER / NON-SPORTS · PredictAwaiting result
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
Bought Yes2.29¢ · 5 Oct, 03:00 UTC
RESULT DATE UNKNOWNAwaiting the triggering eventRule deadline: 31 Dec 2026, 06:00 UTC
NOW 1.6% ▼ 24h ago 1.8%bought 2.3%
Staked $0.91→If correct · includes stake $38.9742.8×
Unsettled; returns $0 if this ticket loses.
PAPER / NON-SPORTS · PredictAwaiting result
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Bought Yes0.50¢ · 28 Sept, 03:00 UTC
RESULT DATE UNKNOWNAwaiting the triggering eventRule deadline: 1 Jan 2027, 05:00 UTC
NOW 0.15% ＝ 24h ago 0.15%bought 0.50%
Staked $0.91→If correct · includes stake $178.36196.0×
Unsettled; returns $0 if this ticket loses.
PAPER / NON-SPORTS · PredictAwaiting result
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Bought Yes0.90¢ · 28 Sept, 03:00 UTC
RESULT DATE UNKNOWNAwaiting the triggering eventRule deadline: 28 Oct 2026, 23:59 UTC
NOW 0.15% ＝ 24h ago 0.15%bought 0.90%
Staked $0.91→If correct · includes stake $99.09108.9×
Unsettled; returns $0 if this ticket loses.
PAPER / NON-SPORTS · PredictAwaiting result
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Bought Yes1.00¢ · 28 Sept, 03:00 UTC
RESULT DATE UNKNOWNAwaiting the triggering eventRule deadline: 1 Jan 2027, 05:00 UTC
NOW 0.45% ＝ 24h ago 0.45%bought 1.0%
Staked $0.91→If correct · includes stake $89.1898.0×
Unsettled; returns $0 if this ticket loses.
PAPER / NON-SPORTS · PredictAwaiting result
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026?
Bought Yes1.00¢ · 28 Sept, 03:00 UTC
RESULT DATE UNKNOWNAwaiting the triggering eventRule deadline: 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC
NOW 1.4% ▼ 24h ago 1.5%bought 1.0%
Staked $0.91→If correct · includes stake $89.1898.0×
Unsettled; returns $0 if this ticket loses.
PAPER / SEASON · PredictAwaiting result
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Will Baker Mayfield win the 2026 NFL MVP?
Bought Yes0.50¢ · 26 Sept, 03:00 UTC
RESULT TIME UNVERIFIEDAwait Predict settlement
Staked $0.08→If correct · includes stake $15.00190.5×
Unsettled; returns $0 if this ticket loses.
PAPER / SEASON · PredictAwaiting result
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Bought Yes1.70¢ · 24 Sept, 03:00 UTC
RESULT TIME UNVERIFIEDAwait Predict settlement
Staked $0.09→If correct · includes stake $5.0056.1×
Unsettled; returns $0 if this ticket loses.
PAPER / SEASON · PredictAwaiting result
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Bought Yes4.50¢ · 22 Sept, 10:06 UTC
RESULT TIME UNVERIFIEDAwait Predict settlement
Staked $0.75→If correct · includes stake $16.0021.2×
Unsettled; returns $0 if this ticket loses.
PAPER / SEASON · PredictAwaiting result
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Bought Yes2.80¢ · 22 Sept, 10:06 UTC
RESULT TIME UNVERIFIEDAwait Predict settlement
Staked $0.79→If correct · includes stake $27.0034.1×
Unsettled; returns $0 if this ticket loses.
PAPER / SEASON · PredictAwaiting result
Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
Bought Yes2.70¢ · 22 Sept, 10:06 UTC
RESULT TIME UNVERIFIEDAwait Predict settlement
Staked $0.79→If correct · includes stake $28.0035.3×
Unsettled; returns $0 if this ticket loses.
PAPER / SEASON · PredictAwaiting result
Will Rennes win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?
Bought Yes2.60¢ · 22 Sept, 10:06 UTC
RESULT TIME UNVERIFIEDAwait Predict settlement
Staked $0.79→If correct · includes stake $29.0036.7×
Unsettled; returns $0 if this ticket loses.
PAPER / SEASON · PredictAwaiting result
BALLON D’OR
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Bought Yes2.00¢ · 22 Sept, 10:06 UTC
RESULT TIME UNVERIFIEDAwait Predict settlement
Staked $0.80→If correct · includes stake $38.0047.7×
Unsettled; returns $0 if this ticket loses.
PAPER / SEASON · PredictAwaiting result
Will Napoli win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
Bought Yes1.50¢ · 22 Sept, 10:06 UTC
RESULT TIME UNVERIFIEDAwait Predict settlement
Staked $0.79→If correct · includes stake $50.0063.5×
Unsettled; returns $0 if this ticket loses.
PAPER / SEASON · PredictAwaiting result
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
Bought Yes1.10¢ · 22 Sept, 10:06 UTC
RESULT TIME UNVERIFIEDAwait Predict settlement
Staked $0.80→If correct · includes stake $69.0086.6×
Unsettled; returns $0 if this ticket loses.
PAPER / SEASON · TITLE · PredictAwaiting result
Pittsburgh Steelers · 2027 AFC champion?
Backed the title2.00¢ · 22 Sept, 10:06 UTC
RESULT TIME UNVERIFIEDAwait Predict settlement
Staked $0.80→If correct · includes stake $38.0047.7×
Unsettled; returns $0 if this ticket loses.
PAPER / SEASON · PredictAwaiting result
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
Bought Yes2.00¢ · 22 Sept, 10:06 UTC
RESULT TIME UNVERIFIEDAwait Predict settlement
Staked $0.80→If correct · includes stake $38.0047.7×
Unsettled; returns $0 if this ticket loses.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 1 - 0 RB Leipzig?
Bought Yes6.30¢ · 19 Oct, 03:00 UTC
SETTLED21 Oct 2026, 23:25 UTC
Staked $0.95→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $0.95.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Will AEK win on 2026-10-20?
Bought Yes4.00¢ · 19 Oct, 03:00 UTC
SETTLED20 Oct 2026, 23:25 UTC
Staked $0.95→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $0.95.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 1 FC Barcelona?
Bought Yes5.80¢ · 19 Oct, 03:00 UTC
SETTLED20 Oct 2026, 23:25 UTC
Staked $0.95→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $0.95.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-10-20?
Bought Yes6.00¢ · 19 Oct, 03:00 UTC
SETTLED20 Oct 2026, 23:25 UTC
Staked $0.95→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $0.95.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Exact Score: Getafe CF 3 - 0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid?
Bought Yes2.10¢ · 19 Oct, 03:00 UTC
SETTLED19 Oct 2026, 23:25 UTC
Staked $0.95→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $0.95.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Exact Score: Tottenham Hotspur FC 0 - 2 Coventry City FC?
Bought Yes2.20¢ · 19 Oct, 03:00 UTC
SETTLED19 Oct 2026, 23:25 UTC
Staked $0.95→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $0.95.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Exact Score: Parma Calcio 1913 2 - 3 Torino FC?
Bought Yes2.30¢ · 19 Oct, 03:00 UTC
SETTLED19 Oct 2026, 23:25 UTC
Staked $0.95→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $0.95.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Al Hazem SC leading at halftime?
Bought Yes5.00¢ · 19 Oct, 03:00 UTC
SETTLED19 Oct 2026, 23:25 UTC
Staked $0.95→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $0.95.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Exact Score: AC Monza 2 - 3 Cagliari Calcio?
Bought Yes2.30¢ · 19 Oct, 03:00 UTC
SETTLED19 Oct 2026, 19:25 UTC
Staked $0.95→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $0.95.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Exact Score: Al Fayha Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Ahli Saudi Club?
Bought Yes4.60¢ · 19 Oct, 03:00 UTC
SETTLED19 Oct 2026, 19:25 UTC
Staked $0.95→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $0.95.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Exact Score: Atalanta BC 0 - 2 Venezia FC?
Bought Yes2.00¢ · 12 Oct, 03:00 UTC
SETTLED18 Oct 2026, 13:48 UTC
Staked $0.95→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $0.95.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Exact Score: Coventry City FC 3 - 0 Newcastle United FC?
Bought Yes2.10¢ · 12 Oct, 03:00 UTC
SETTLED18 Oct 2026, 13:48 UTC
Staked $0.95→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $0.95.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Exact Score: Torino FC 2 - 3 Udinese Calcio?
Bought Yes2.10¢ · 12 Oct, 03:00 UTC
SETTLED18 Oct 2026, 13:48 UTC
Staked $0.95→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $0.95.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Exact Score: Levante UD 2 - 3 Sevilla FC?
Bought Yes2.40¢ · 12 Oct, 03:00 UTC
SETTLED18 Oct 2026, 13:48 UTC
Staked $0.95→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $0.95.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 0 Manchester United FC?
Bought Yes4.30¢ · 12 Oct, 03:00 UTC
SETTLED18 Oct 2026, 13:48 UTC
Staked $0.95→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $0.95.
PAPER / MATCH · DRAW · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs FK Kauno Žalgiris
Backed the draw5.00¢ · 12 Oct, 03:00 UTC
SETTLED18 Oct 2026, 13:48 UTC
Staked $0.95→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $0.95.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Exact Score: Sabah FK 0 - 0 SK Slavia Praha?
Bought Yes6.30¢ · 12 Oct, 03:00 UTC
SETTLED18 Oct 2026, 13:48 UTC
Staked $0.95→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $0.95.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-13?
Bought Yes7.00¢ · 12 Oct, 03:00 UTC
SETTLED18 Oct 2026, 13:48 UTC
Staked $0.95→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $0.95.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Exact Score: Racing Club de Lens 0 - 1 Sporting CP?
Bought Yes7.40¢ · 12 Oct, 03:00 UTC
SETTLED18 Oct 2026, 13:48 UTC
Staked $0.95→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $0.95.
PAPER / SEASON · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?
Bought Yes4.20¢ · 7 Oct, 03:00 UTC
SETTLED11 Oct 2026, 03:41 UTC
Staked $0.91→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $0.91.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Belgium?
Bought Yes2.00¢ · 5 Oct, 03:00 UTC
SETTLED11 Oct 2026, 03:41 UTC
Staked $1.04→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $1.04.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Exact Score: Northern Ireland 1 - 3 Georgia?
Bought Yes2.20¢ · 5 Oct, 03:00 UTC
SETTLED11 Oct 2026, 03:41 UTC
Staked $1.04→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $1.04.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Exact Score: Romania 3 - 2 Sweden?
Bought Yes2.40¢ · 5 Oct, 03:00 UTC
SETTLED11 Oct 2026, 03:41 UTC
Staked $1.04→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $1.04.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Exact Score: Bosnia and Herzegovina 3 - 2 Poland?
Bought Yes2.90¢ · 5 Oct, 03:00 UTC
SETTLED11 Oct 2026, 03:41 UTC
Staked $1.04→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $1.04.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Exact Score: Ukraine 1 - 3 Hungary?
Bought Yes3.10¢ · 5 Oct, 03:00 UTC
SETTLED11 Oct 2026, 03:41 UTC
Staked $1.04→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $1.04.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Exact Score: Italy 0 - 1 Türkiye?
Bought Yes3.50¢ · 5 Oct, 03:00 UTC
SETTLED11 Oct 2026, 03:41 UTC
Staked $1.04→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $1.04.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Exact Score: Montenegro 3 - 2 Armenia?
Bought Yes3.65¢ · 5 Oct, 03:00 UTC
SETTLED11 Oct 2026, 03:41 UTC
Staked $1.04→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $1.04.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-10-10?
Bought Yes4.00¢ · 5 Oct, 03:00 UTC
SETTLED11 Oct 2026, 03:41 UTC
Staked $1.04→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $1.04.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Will Le Mans FC win on 2026-10-10?
Bought Yes4.00¢ · 5 Oct, 03:00 UTC
SETTLED11 Oct 2026, 03:41 UTC
Staked $1.04→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $1.04.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Will Czechia win on 2026-10-06?
Bought Yes4.00¢ · 5 Oct, 03:00 UTC
SETTLED11 Oct 2026, 03:41 UTC
Staked $1.04→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $1.04.
PAPER / NON-SPORTS · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Bought Yes1.30¢ · 5 Oct, 03:00 UTC
SETTLED11 Oct 2026, 03:41 UTC
Staked $0.91→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $0.91.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Exact Score: Kyrgyz Republic 1 - 1 Maldives?
Bought Yes2.00¢ · 28 Sept, 03:00 UTC
SETTLED11 Oct 2026, 03:41 UTC
Staked $1.14→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $1.14.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 2 Uruguay?
Bought Yes2.00¢ · 28 Sept, 03:00 UTC
SETTLED11 Oct 2026, 03:41 UTC
Staked $1.14→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $1.14.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Exact Score: Japan 3 - 2 Venezuela?
Bought Yes2.59¢ · 28 Sept, 03:00 UTC
SETTLED11 Oct 2026, 03:41 UTC
Staked $1.14→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $1.14.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 0 Brazil?
Bought Yes5.00¢ · 28 Sept, 03:00 UTC
SETTLED11 Oct 2026, 03:41 UTC
Staked $1.14→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $1.14.
PAPER / MATCH · DRAW · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
San Marino vs Albania
Backed the draw5.00¢ · 28 Sept, 03:00 UTC
SETTLED11 Oct 2026, 03:41 UTC
Staked $1.14→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $1.14.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Will Croatia win on 2026-09-29?
Bought Yes7.00¢ · 28 Sept, 03:00 UTC
SETTLED11 Oct 2026, 03:41 UTC
Staked $1.14→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $1.14.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Will Serbia win on 2026-10-01?
Bought Yes8.00¢ · 28 Sept, 03:00 UTC
SETTLED11 Oct 2026, 03:41 UTC
Staked $1.14→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $1.14.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-09-29?
Bought Yes8.00¢ · 28 Sept, 03:00 UTC
SETTLED11 Oct 2026, 03:41 UTC
Staked $1.14→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $1.14.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Wyoming vs. North Dakota State
Bought WYOM10.00¢ · 28 Sept, 03:00 UTC
SETTLED11 Oct 2026, 03:41 UTC
Staked $1.14→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $1.14.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Boston College vs. SMU
Bought BOSCOL10.00¢ · 28 Sept, 03:00 UTC
SETTLED11 Oct 2026, 03:41 UTC
Staked $1.14→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $1.14.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Chargers vs. Bills
Bought —25.00¢ · 21 Sept, 17:08 UTC
SETTLED11 Oct 2026, 03:41 UTC
Staked $3.89→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $3.89.
PAPER / MATCH · DRAW · PredictLost
VS
Seattle Sounders FC vs Real Salt Lake
Side unverified25.00¢ · 21 Sept, 17:08 UTC
SETTLED11 Oct 2026, 03:41 UTC
Staked $3.89→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $3.89.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Cardinals vs. 49ers
Bought —22.00¢ · 21 Sept, 17:08 UTC
SETTLED11 Oct 2026, 03:41 UTC
Staked $3.89→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $3.89.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics
Bought —14.00¢ · 21 Sept, 17:08 UTC
SETTLED23 Sept 2026, 03:25 UTC
Staked $0.88→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $0.88.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Giants vs. Rams: O/U 57.5
Bought —24.00¢ · 21 Sept, 17:08 UTC
SETTLED22 Sept 2026, 07:25 UTC
Staked $3.99→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $3.99.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Clube Náutico Capibaribe leading at halftime?
Bought —22.00¢ · 21 Sept, 17:08 UTC
SETTLED22 Sept 2026, 07:25 UTC
Staked $3.89→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $3.89.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Rangers vs. Devils
Bought —25.00¢ · 21 Sept, 17:08 UTC
SETTLED22 Sept 2026, 03:25 UTC
Staked $3.89→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $3.89.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-09-21?
Bought —25.00¢ · 21 Sept, 17:08 UTC
SETTLED22 Sept 2026, 03:25 UTC
Staked $3.89→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $3.89.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
CA Barracas Central leading at halftime?
Bought —22.00¢ · 21 Sept, 17:08 UTC
SETTLED22 Sept 2026, 03:25 UTC
Staked $3.89→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $3.89.
PAPER / MATCH · PredictLost
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
Exact Score: Sevilla FC 3 - 2 CA Osasuna?
Bought Yes2.60¢ · 26 Oct, 03:00 UTC
DECIDED BY THE VENUELostBooked at the next settlement (every four hours)
Staked $0.91→Returned $0.00
Lost; this ticket cost $0.91.
Settled P&L −$32.23· Open stake $29.11
Settlement notes & public ledger
Returns include the stake; profit deducts cost and fees. Countdowns show expected result times, not guaranteed settlement; a season ticket can end early if its team is knocked out.
Paper account started at $200.00 · ledger cash $138.65 · total staked $111.69. From 25 September to 11 October 2026 the book also bought with real money on Predict; since then it is paper only.
Snapshot captured 26 Oct, 22:30 UTC · Updated hourly; a new ticket may take a little time to appear. View public ticket data ↗
Next up
PLANNED · NOT PLACEDRuns 27 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC · budget $6.49
Based on order books at 26 Oct, 03:40 UTC; no orders have been placed for these picks. The next run scans again: prices may change, and more matches may qualify (kick-off must be 2 hours to 7 days away). Multiples include the stake and reflect the 2% fee.
How the book works
RULE V8 · FROM SEPT 28Small stakes. Big upsets.
Only outcomes the market considers unlikely: every ticket is a small stake, most lose, and a rare hit returns many times over. This account keeps buying by one fixed rule to see what that looks like over time.
An experiment to watch, not a claim that longshots are underpriced.- HOW MUCH10% of the account’s cash (it started at $200). Match 60% · season 20% · non-sports 20%. At least $0.91 a ticket.
- WHATLongest odds first. Match tickets at 10–50×, season and non-sports at 20–200×; nothing costing over 15% to enter; one ticket per event.
- HOW IT IS BOOKEDDaily at 12:00 Japan time it scans Predict and books each ticket at the public asking price, less the 2% fee; results follow Predict’s settlement.
- NEVERWar, death, pandemics, disasters, religion, or anything one person gets to decide (tweet counts, token launch dates). We root for upsets, not disasters.
A paper account: no real money, no fees. This page only reports the system strategy’s records, with no user xUSD or SLIP rewards.
Data sources: Polymarket × Predict
We read Polymarket and Predict together
107,783paired observations
1380markets · read hourly
99.64%of pre-match quotes agree within 2 points
They diverge once play starts, which is why quotes are read before kick-off. These are public quotes; reading them is not an order, and we have no affiliation with either venue.
Why we read two →