PRODUCT PREVIEW · VILLA issued on Pons · historical rankings · 2 match prices locked · 2 settled · 0.00 USDG due for buyback, 5.29 executed.Sports + market snapshot: 2026-10-26T22:30:00.293Z · delayed data
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#5 in LaLiga · 19 pts · SEASON 2026-27

Real Sociedad

WDWWW
THE RULE, RUN BACK OVER SIX SEASONS

Most matches release nothing at all.

Only a win releases budget, and the less expected the win the more it releases. Draws and losses release zero — 133 of these 228 matches did. Averaged out:

20.7%

of the match budget, released per match on average.

A match budget is 10% of the treasury when that match settles. A share of budget, not a return, and no guarantee of future results. #28 across clubs with six complete seasons in these four leagues, 2020/21–2025/26.

Season by season
SeasonGamesWinsBuyback released
2025/26381116.3%
2024/25381317.5%
2023/24381620.6%
2022/23382129.5%
2021/22381721.0%
2020/21381719.5%

Buyback released = (1 − the market's pre-match probability) on each win, averaged over every match; draws and losses release nothing and the budget stays in the treasury. Average closing odds, de-vigged. Domestic league matches only, no cups. The treasury never bought back against these historical matches.

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EVERY MATCH ADDS TO THE STORY

The season, as it happens.

  1. NEXT UP · 1 Nov, 20:00 UK

    On the road. The next chapter.

    LaLiga · 1 Nov, 20:00 UK
    Athletic Clubvs Real Sociedad
    Scheduled · Away · San Mamés
    No prediction placed. Match-day trading is not connected in this preview.
  2. 25 Oct, 17:30 UK · FULL TIME

    A win for the club.

    LaLiga · 25 Oct, 17:30 UK
    Real Sociedad2–1 Levante
    Full time · Home · Reale Arena
  3. 22 Oct, 20:00 UK · FULL TIME

    A win for the club.

    UEL · 22 Oct, 20:00 UK
    Lillestrom0–6 Real Sociedad
    Full time · Away · Arasen Stadion
  4. 18 Oct, 17:30 UK · FULL TIME

    A win for the club.

    LaLiga · 18 Oct, 17:30 UK
    Málaga2–5 Real Sociedad
    Full time · Away · La Rosaleda
  5. 15 Oct, 17:45 UK · FULL TIME

    Honours even.

    UEL · 15 Oct, 17:45 UK
    Union St.-Gilloise1–1 Real Sociedad
    Full time · Away · King Power at Den Dreef Stadion
  6. 11 Oct, 15:15 UK · FULL TIME

    A win for the club.

    LaLiga · 11 Oct, 15:15 UK
    Real Sociedad3–2 Deportivo
    Full time · Home · Reale Arena

Results from the sports snapshot. Updates are collected hourly, not a live play-by-play feed. A final score is separate from prediction-market settlement.