PRODUCT PREVIEW · VILLA issued on Pons · historical rankings · 2 match prices locked · 2 settled · 0.00 USDG due for buyback, 5.29 executed.Sports + market snapshot: 2026-10-26T22:30:00.293Z · delayed data
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#10 in BUN · 9 pts · SEASON 2026-27

TSG Hoffenheim

LLWWW
THE RULE, RUN BACK OVER SIX SEASONS

Most matches release nothing at all.

Only a win releases budget, and the less expected the win the more it releases. Draws and losses release zero — 132 of these 204 matches did. Averaged out:

19.9%

of the match budget, released per match on average.

A match budget is 10% of the treasury when that match settles. A share of budget, not a return, and no guarantee of future results. #37 across clubs with six complete seasons in these four leagues, 2020/21–2025/26.

Season by season
SeasonGamesWinsBuyback released
2025/26341827.8%
2024/2534712.2%
2023/24341323.8%
2022/23341016.4%
2021/22341320.1%
2020/21341118.9%

Buyback released = (1 − the market's pre-match probability) on each win, averaged over every match; draws and losses release nothing and the budget stays in the treasury. Average closing odds, de-vigged. Domestic league matches only, no cups. The treasury never bought back against these historical matches.

EVERY MATCH ADDS TO THE STORY

The season, as it happens.

  1. NEXT UP · 31 Oct, 14:30 UK

    On the road. The next chapter.

    BUN · 31 Oct, 14:30 UK
    Werder Bremenvs TSG Hoffenheim
    Scheduled · Away · Weserstadion
    No prediction placed. Match-day trading is not connected in this preview.
  2. 25 Oct, 14:30 UK · FULL TIME

    A win for the club.

    BUN · 25 Oct, 14:30 UK
    TSG Hoffenheim3–0 Bayer Leverkusen
    Full time · Home · PreZero Arena
  3. 22 Oct, 20:00 UK · FULL TIME

    A win for the club.

    UEL · 22 Oct, 20:00 UK
    TSG Hoffenheim3–0 Lyon
    Full time · Home · PreZero Arena
  4. 18 Oct, 16:30 UK · FULL TIME

    A win for the club.

    BUN · 18 Oct, 16:30 UK
    Borussia Mönchengladbach1–2 TSG Hoffenheim
    Full time · Away · BORUSSIA-PARK
  5. 15 Oct, 20:00 UK · FULL TIME

    A result to come back from.

    UEL · 15 Oct, 20:00 UK
    TSG Hoffenheim2–3 Besiktas
    Full time · Home · PreZero Arena
  6. 10 Oct, 14:30 UK · FULL TIME

    A result to come back from.

    BUN · 10 Oct, 14:30 UK
    TSG Hoffenheim2–3 Hamburg SV
    Full time · Home · PreZero Arena

Results from the sports snapshot. Updates are collected hourly, not a live play-by-play feed. A final score is separate from prediction-market settlement.