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$VILLAVilla Believers · Independent fan meme

A Villa meme coin.
Buybacks shaped by prediction markets.

Villa win. The rule funds a buyback and burn.
The bigger the upset, the larger the share of the match budget.

Explore $VILLA on Pons ↗

Unofficial fan token. A buyback is not a dividend and does not guarantee a higher price.

Pons creator fees→Markets set the share→Win → buy back & burn
Pre-match reference · no official lock for this match

AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa

28 Oct, 19:45 · UK time

Villa win probability · reference—
If Villa win, estimated buyback—

No locked probability for this match yet, so there is nothing to estimate.

Probability from Polymarket · checked against Predict

See both market quotes
PUBLIC QUOTE SNAPSHOT · SEPARATE FROM THE OFFICIAL LOCK

AFC Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa FC

Kicks off Wed 28 Oct, 19:45 UK time

This data is more than 90 minutes old; prices may have moved.

PolymarketPrimary price

32.5%Villa win probability

Quote range
32%–33%
Traded on this market
$1,979
Liquidity (as the venue reports it)
$18,143
See this match on Polymarket ↗
PredictCross-check

32%Villa win probability

Quote range
31%–33%
Traded on this market
$1,919
Liquidity (as the venue reports it)
$4,268
See this match on Predict ↗

The two markets differ by 0.5 percentage points — within the 2 the rule allows.

ALSO ON THIS MATCHTHIS SEASON

Reference mid prices from Polymarket, refreshed hourly. Only the locked question above decides a buyback; these do not.

Read from both markets at 22:30 UK time and refreshed hourly. Public quotes only: reading them is not an order and earns nothing. The official price is the one locked about two hours before kickoff.

WHAT HAS HAPPENED

1,615,181 VILLA bought back and burned

Spent 5.29 USDG of token creator fees, not prediction-market profits.

Published finance snapshot · 24 Sept, 10:54 · UK time
View funds & receipts ↗

Follow the season.

24 Oct, 12:30 · UK timeVilla2 – 1Manchester CityEPL
21 Oct, 20:00 · UK timeVilla3 – 1Viking FKUCL
17 Oct, 17:30 · UK timeNewcastle United0 – 1VillaEPL

Scores refresh hourly; full time is separate from market settlement.

What does holding record?
PROOF OF BELIEF · A RECORD, NOT A REWARD

What the market thought while you were holding.

At the moment each match is priced, the chain says who was holding and how much. That reading is kept. Selling later does not erase it — it already happened.

—Nobody yetThe entire supply is still in the bonding curve
7Matches on the recordRecording since 18 Sept

Next reading: when a match is locked

Locked matches
  • 24 Octlocked at 18.5%Awaiting settlement0 holding at the lock
  • 21 Octlocked at 77.5%Awaiting settlement0 holding at the lock
  • 17 Octlocked at 33.5%Awaiting settlement0 holding at the lock
  • 14 Octlocked at 58.5%Awaiting settlement0 holding at the lock
  • 10 Octlocked at 34.5%Awaiting settlement0 holding at the lock
  • 19 Septlocked at 24.5%Club won0 holding at the lock
Two numbers, and they answer different questions

Belief — how much you held, times how little the market believed. Counted whether the club wins or loses.

Vindication — the part of that the result confirmed. Only a win counts, and the more unexpected the win the more it counts.

The window takes your lowest balance, so buying just before a lock earns nothing. There is no pool, no distribution and no claim on anything: this is a record. Addresses are read from the public chain and are not published here.

Everything already executed, with hashes ↗
Token contract & buyback rules

Robinhood Chain · VILLA / USDG

0xD0FECa97eFdAd95E737a053816FdCe1A0fe18E0e

The match budget is 10% of the treasury at settlement. A win releases 1 minus the locked probability. No valid lock or settlement means no automatic buyback. The project does not trade on prediction markets; it reads their quotes.

Full rules ↗
Explore which clubs delivered historical surprises ↗