Newcastle United
LLWMost matches release nothing at all.
Only a win releases budget, and the less expected the win the more it releases. Draws and losses release zero — 132 of these 228 matches did. Averaged out:
of the match budget, released per match on average.
A match budget is 10% of the treasury when that match settles. A share of budget, not a return, and no guarantee of future results. #17 across clubs with six complete seasons in these four leagues, 2020/21–2025/26.
Season by season
| Season | Games | Wins | Buyback released |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | 38 | 14 | 18.8% |
| 2024/25 | 38 | 20 | 24.2% |
| 2023/24 | 38 | 18 | 23.6% |
| 2022/23 | 38 | 19 | 24.1% |
| 2021/22 | 38 | 13 | 22.1% |
| 2020/21 | 38 | 12 | 22.2% |
Buyback released = (1 − the market's pre-match probability) on each win, averaged over every match; draws and losses release nothing and the budget stays in the treasury. Average closing odds, de-vigged. Domestic league matches only, no cups. The treasury never bought back against these historical matches.
The season, as it happens.
- NEXT UP · 29 Oct, 19:45 UK
On the road. The next chapter.
Evertonvs
Newcastle UnitedNo prediction placed. Match-day trading is not connected in this preview. - 25 Oct, 14:00 UK · FULL TIME
A win for the club.
Crystal Palace0–2
Newcastle United - 17 Oct, 17:30 UK · FULL TIME
A result to come back from.
Newcastle United0–1
Aston Villa - 12 Oct, 20:00 UK · FULL TIME
A result to come back from.
Coventry City4–1
Newcastle United
Results from the sports snapshot. Updates are collected hourly, not a live play-by-play feed. A final score is separate from prediction-market settlement.