PRODUCT PREVIEW · VILLA issued on Pons · historical rankings · 2 match prices locked · 2 settled · 0.00 USDG due for buyback, 5.29 executed.Sports + market snapshot: 2026-10-26T22:30:00.293Z · delayed data
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#10 in LaLiga · 12 pts · SEASON 2026-27

Villarreal

LWDLW
THE RULE, RUN BACK OVER SIX SEASONS

Most matches release nothing at all.

Only a win releases budget, and the less expected the win the more it releases. Draws and losses release zero — 122 of these 228 matches did. Averaged out:

23.6%

of the match budget, released per match on average.

A match budget is 10% of the treasury when that match settles. A share of budget, not a return, and no guarantee of future results. #13 across clubs with six complete seasons in these four leagues, 2020/21–2025/26.

Season by season
SeasonGamesWinsBuyback released
2025/26382228.0%
2024/25382026.0%
2023/24381422.3%
2022/23381926.8%
2021/22381619.6%
2020/21381518.7%

Buyback released = (1 − the market's pre-match probability) on each win, averaged over every match; draws and losses release nothing and the budget stays in the treasury. Average closing odds, de-vigged. Domestic league matches only, no cups. The treasury never bought back against these historical matches.

EVERY MATCH ADDS TO THE STORY

The season, as it happens.

  1. NEXT UP · 30 Oct, 20:00 UK

    Back at home. The next chapter.

    LaLiga · 30 Oct, 20:00 UK
    Villarrealvs Espanyol
    Scheduled · Home · Estadio de la Cerámica
    No prediction placed. Match-day trading is not connected in this preview.
  2. 24 Oct, 17:30 UK · FULL TIME

    A win for the club.

    LaLiga · 24 Oct, 17:30 UK
    Valencia1–2 Villarreal
    Full time · Away · Mestalla Stadium
  3. 20 Oct, 20:00 UK · FULL TIME

    A result to come back from.

    UCL · 20 Oct, 20:00 UK
    Liverpool4–3 Villarreal
    Full time · Away · Anfield
  4. 17 Oct, 15:15 UK · FULL TIME

    Honours even.

    LaLiga · 17 Oct, 15:15 UK
    Villarreal0–0 Elche
    Full time · Home · Estadio de la Cerámica
  5. 13 Oct, 20:00 UK · FULL TIME

    A win for the club.

    UCL · 13 Oct, 20:00 UK
    Villarreal3–1 Napoli
    Full time · Home · Estadio de la Cerámica
  6. 10 Oct, 20:00 UK · FULL TIME

    A result to come back from.

    LaLiga · 10 Oct, 20:00 UK
    Real Madrid1–0 Villarreal
    Full time · Away · Santiago Bernabéu

Results from the sports snapshot. Updates are collected hourly, not a live play-by-play feed. A final score is separate from prediction-market settlement.