Arsenal
WWWDWMost matches release nothing at all.
Only a win releases budget, and the less expected the win the more it releases. Draws and losses release zero — 88 of these 228 matches did. Averaged out:
of the match budget, released per match on average.
A match budget is 10% of the treasury when that match settles. A share of budget, not a return, and no guarantee of future results. #11 across clubs with six complete seasons in these four leagues, 2020/21–2025/26.
Season by season
| Season | Games | Wins | Buyback released |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | 38 | 26 | 23.1% |
| 2024/25 | 38 | 20 | 17.9% |
| 2023/24 | 38 | 28 | 22.9% |
| 2022/23 | 38 | 26 | 27.7% |
| 2021/22 | 38 | 22 | 26.6% |
| 2020/21 | 38 | 18 | 24.2% |
Buyback released = (1 − the market's pre-match probability) on each win, averaged over every match; draws and losses release nothing and the budget stays in the treasury. Average closing odds, de-vigged. Domestic league matches only, no cups. The treasury never bought back against these historical matches.
The season, as it happens.
- NEXT UP · 27 Oct, 20:00 UK
On the road. The next chapter.
Fleetwood Townvs
ArsenalNo prediction placed. Match-day trading is not connected in this preview. - 24 Oct, 15:00 UK · FULL TIME
A win for the club.
Arsenal2–0
Everton - 21 Oct, 20:00 UK · FULL TIME
Honours even.
Bayern Munich2–2
Arsenal - 18 Oct, 16:30 UK · FULL TIME
A win for the club.
Nottingham Forest0–1
Arsenal - 13 Oct, 20:00 UK · FULL TIME
A win for the club.
Arsenal3–0
Lille - 10 Oct, 12:30 UK · FULL TIME
A win for the club.
Arsenal2–1
Leeds United
Results from the sports snapshot. Updates are collected hourly, not a live play-by-play feed. A final score is separate from prediction-market settlement.